DE

 


SO WHAT?

Afghans and Syrians have been in the news over the last two years for migrant crime in Germany. Surprisingly, neither Afghanistan nor Syria are Germany’s migrant crime champion. This article reveals the country that is.

 


CIW NEWS – If medals were awarded for migrant crime in Germany, which country would top the medal count? CIW NEWS answers the question by combining data from Germany’s Federal Criminal Police Office (BKA) and its Federal Statistics Office (DEStatis).

 

METHODOLOGY

Germany’s BKA produces Police Criminal Statistics (PKS) annually. Part of each year’s PKS is a data table showing numbers of crimes by offenders’ country of origin.

Upper left-hand corner of table of crimes by offenders’ country of origin

 

The 1062 crimes in rows along the table’s left-hand side are from Germany’s Crime Catalog. Each row is part of a hierarchy of catalogued crimes.

Start of crime catalog showing hierarchy of crimes

 

The hierarchy contains nine top-level crime categories such as 000000 – Crimes against life and 100000 – Crimes against sexual self-determination shown above.

CIW NEWS uses each of these nine categories plus the super category of overall crimes (Straftaten insgesamt) to determine Germany’s migrant crime champion.

Which country prevails in each of the ten categories is not based on the highest absolute number of crimes per country but on the highest criminality as a multiple of the German crime rate.

The multiple of the German crime rate for crimes committed in Germany is determined as:

 

For example, for the first non-German country in the PKS table, Afghanistan, the multiple for 2016 is calculated as:

which equals 21.4, where:

 

  • 79,774 is the number of crimes committed by Afghans in Germany in 2016 as per cell F6 of the PKS table of crimes vs. countries
  • 131,454 and 253,485 are the total number of Afghans in Germany on 31.12.2015 and 31.12.2016, respectively (with the average giving an average number of Afghans in Germany over 2016) as per page 43 of the DEStatis publication Population and Employment: Foreign Population
  • 1,407,062 is the number of crimes committed by Germans in Germany in 2016 as per cell E6 of the PKS table of crimes vs. countries
  • 82,300,000 is the population of Germany on 30.6.2016 according to the home page of DEStatis, and 9,107,893 and 10,039,080 are the total number of non-Germans in Germany on 31.12.2015 and 31.12.2016, respectively (with the average giving an average number of non-German citizens in Germany over 2016) as per page 43 of DEStatis publication Population and Employment: Foreign Population. The difference between 82,300,000 and the average of 9,107,893 and 10,039,080 is the estimated number of German citizens in Germany during 2016.

The result of 21.4 in the example above means that Afghans in Germany committed crimes at 21.4 times the rate of German citizens according to police records for 2016.

 

CATEGORY CHAMPIONS

To determine which country’s migrants are the most criminal, crime data for each of the 10 categories is:

 

  • tabled for 81 countries of origin plus total, total non-German and stateless results,
  • mapped for 81 countries of origin, and
  • charted for the 10 countries from which migrants in Germany have the highest multiples of the German crime rate.

Screenshots below show the table, map and chart for the super category of Overall crimes:

Start of table for Overall crimes

 

Color-coded map of Overall crimes as a multiple of the German rate: Green shows low multiples, orange medium, red high. White means no data is available.

 

Top 10 countries for Overall crimes as a multiple of the German rate

 

For Overall crimes, the above chart shows Algerians in Germany have the highest criminality. Their crime rate is 32.5 times that of German nationals.

The same sets of table, map and chart are available for the nine top-level crime categories via the links below:

 

 

RESULTS

The results for the 10 categories are:

 

The medal count for 2016 is therefore:

 

Germany’s migrant crime champion for 2016 by a large margin is Algeria. Afghanistan finished just behind second-placed Georgia. Syria failed to place despite having an Overall crime rate 14.7 times that of German nationals, and a rate for Crimes against sexual self-determination 5.3 times that of Germans.

On a more serious note, the final tally above translates into hundreds of thousands of crimes committed in Germany by Third World migrants, crimes that would not have occurred and lives of victims that would not have been harmed had these migrants not been allowed into the country.




Germany crime immigration



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Berlin - capital of Germany - is in the middle of the map below.

63.8° N
9.1° W
35.9° E
41.3° N

 

target
Berlin, Germany




Germany (DE) is estimated to have a population of 82.2 million with a growth rate during 2010-2015 of 0.1% pa.
At the same rate of change, in five years' time its population will increase by 0.4 million.
However, the rate has been much higher since 2015 when two million immigrants entered Germany (1.14 million net).